Forecast Delta Tracker

September 2026 · Latest read · September 10, 2026

September 2026 forecast read: VA moved its forecast, CMS fires in Q1 FY27, and half of HHS has not refreshed

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I went back to all eleven portals this week and pulled what each agency has actually published, in a real browser, with the file dates. The overdue badge on this page was on me, and I am not going to pretend the May read still holds. FY27 starts October 1. Here is what the agencies themselves say fires in the first quarter, and where they have said nothing at all. Across the pipeline table, 39 lines carry a solicitation date inside Q1 FY27 (CMS 15, IHS 21, VA 3), and VA puts ten more awards in that quarter.

VA: the forecast moved, and the big lines are dated. The OSDBU acquisition page I pointed you to in May now returns a 403, in a browser, not only from a script. VA's own Forecast of Contracting Opportunities query tool on the vendor portal is still up, scoped to FY2026, interactive only, and stamped reviewed 05/07/2026. The live VA forecast is in the governmentwide Forecast of Contracting Opportunities tool that GSA hosts on acquisitiongateway.gov. Filter Agency to Department of Veterans Affairs and you get 688 rows, 607 of them from the Technology Acquisition Center, with rows touched as recently as September 4. I pulled the 44 health-IT lines at $10M and up into the table. What VA says it awards in Q1 FY27: Enterprise Cloud Brokerage Service at $1B to $1.9B (solicitation dated August 10), Identity Credential Access Management at $250M to $499M, Information Security Innovation, Continuous Readiness and Audit Support at $250M to $499M (solicitation August 14), Enterprise Artificial Intelligence at $50M to $99M, Enterprise Bi-Directional Image and Report Exchange at $20M to $49M, the Salesforce Veterans Crisis Line rebuild at $20M to $49M, Data Analytics Service Line support at $20M to $49M (solicitation October 28), and Enterprise Bulk Printing at $100M to $249M. Q2 FY27 stacks three Infrastructure Operations lines with January 1 solicitation dates: Application Services at $250M to $499M, Application Hosting Compute and Storage at $100M to $249M, and Mainframe Services at $20M to $49M. The one that belongs on your calendar today is OMEGA 2, Onboarding, Management, Engineering, Governance and Assurance Services, $500M to $999M, veteran set-aside, solicitation December 1. And the FY26 fourth-quarter monsters carry solicitation dates that have already passed on the forecast: Health Services DevSecOps ($500M to $999M, July 13), the ERP ITSM follow-on ($500M to $999M, June 26), Infrastructure Engineering and Operations ($250M to $499M, July 11), Cybersecurity Architecture and Engineering ($100M to $249M, July 22), the Summit Data Platform PACT Act analytics contract ($100M to $249M), FMBT Interface Development and Data Conversion ($100M to $249M), and Zero Trust Encryption ($100M to $249M). If you did not see a solicitation, the date slipped and the forecast did not. The closest thing to the Enterprise Imaging line I flagged in May is the bi-directional image and report exchange row above.

CMS: the monthly workbook is the best forecast in federal health, and it moved. CMS still posts a dated Excel around the first of every month, but the page that carried it in August is gone. The September 1 file lives under Work With Us, Business Resources, Contract Opportunities, and the August file URL now redirects to it. 51 rows, down from 59 in August. Nineteen came off: the ServiceNow enterprise license, Smart Card Management Systems, MAC Jurisdiction 8, ATLAS, the Beneficiary and Family-Centered Care case management and review system, Medispan, Website Open Data Discovery, and a dozen more that either awarded or got pulled. Eleven went on: the Data.CMS.gov recompete, Enterprise Portal Service, the Common Working File follow-on, the Analysis and Management System for CMMI, the MA and Part D plan monitoring recompete, the DME Qualified Independent Contractor, Ombudsman reporting, Medicare Part payment policy public comment support, the expanded CJR model, the DMEPOS CBIC BPA recompete, and the Shared Savings Program recompete. September itself is loaded: Integrated Data Repository at $50M to $100M on September 8, Federal Services Systems Support and Oversight at $100M and up on September 14 with GDIT defending, the Enterprise Privacy Policy Engine recompete on September 25, Remote Identity Proofing with Experian defending on September 4, and PS&R/STAR on September 16. Q1 FY27 is where CMS says the IT money fires: the Fiscal Intermediary Shared System maintainer at $100M and up on October 2, HQR Analytics, Reporting, Business Outcomes and Research at $100M and up on October 5 with Bellese defending, CCIIO Security and Privacy Support at $50M to $100M on October 15, Data.CMS.gov on October 26, Cloud Enablement Support at $20M to $50M on October 30, the Modern Claim Adjudication Development Services recompete on December 1, and Rural Health Transformation at $20M to $50M on December 1. All 51 rows are in the table with CMS's own dates.

DHA: nothing new, and I checked the file bytes. The Working with DHA page still links the FY2025 Long Range Acquisition Forecast. I downloaded it through the bot challenge and the workbook's own modified stamp is May 22, 2025. No FY26 forecast, no FY27 forecast. The 19 DHA rows stay in the table as the agency published them, and the page marks the dates that have passed. Three lines in that file still sit ahead of us: Teleradiology at $75M to $100M with a January 2027 start, Competitive Plans Demonstration Expanded at $100M to $250M for December 2027, and the two Nellis AFB staffing requirements for November 2027. Whatever DHA is buying this year under the new PAE structure is not on a published forecast. Watch SAM.gov and the enterprise-wide CSO areas of interest for DHA, and treat this forecast as a floor, not a plan.

HHS: mySBCX moved, and the OpDivs refresh at very different speeds. The mysbcx.hhs.gov address I linked in May redirects to osdbu.hhs.gov, where the Opportunity Forecast now lives inside the SBCX app. The export behind it carried 5,375 published rows on September 10. That headline number hides the real story, which is who is keeping their half current.

• IHS owns 3,928 of those rows and is the one OpDiv writing FY27 lines with dates. I pulled 56 health-IT items into the table. Q1 FY27 solicitations include the RPMS First Data Bank database recompete, the CSMT AIX hardware and software support recompete, the RPMS CHIT certification consult, UFMS and Hyperion O&M at $3M to $7M, and a Navajo Area line titled "IT Software, RPMS Replacement" at $700K to $1.5M for November. The Scholarship and Loan Repayment Award Management System recompete at $13M to $20M is dated September. Q2 brings the Clinical Video Telehealth recompete, Splunk Cloud, Okta, and a headquarters network equipment refresh, then two ERP lines at $7M to $13M each in April and June 2027 and an AIX server upgrade for RPMS in July. Every IHS date is month and year only, so the table carries the first of the month.
• FDA has 517 rows, but its IT lines are all FY26: the Center for Tobacco Products regulatory review workflow system at $13M to $20M with a September 2026 award, Regulatory Review Modernization Development (KASA and the OGD label tool), scientific computing support for CBER, Informatica and CDEROne support. Fourteen are in the table with FY26 award dates. FDA has posted nothing for FY27 yet.
• CMS mirrors a subset of its workbook into SBCX. I used the workbook.
• NIH's OAMP page points at SBCX as the NIH Procurement Forecast. SBCX holds 34 NIH rows and only three of them look forward: the nuMoM2b Heart Health Study 3 at $50M to $100M with a January 2027 award, and two 541715 research recompetes with May 2027 solicitations. No NIH IT line at all. Those three are in the table so the NIH filter is honest, but if the NITAAC sunset on October 29 is your NIH exposure, this forecast will not warn you.
• CDC has 562 rows and every one of them carries an FY24 or FY25 award date with no solicitation date. Zero rows in an IT NAICS. cdc.gov/contracts has no forecast page of its own. CDC's forecast has not refreshed, so CDC has no rows this month.
• ONC buys through the Program Support Center under ASA. The PSC rows are all FY24 and FY25 dates, and the only 2026 entries under ASA are ACF and refugee-program buys. No ONC line exists anywhere in the export, so ONC has no rows this month.
• The Office of the Secretary shows exactly two FY26 lines with an IT flavor, both from the new OMAS buying centers: 3M Advanced Analyzer software through the IT Strategic Buying Center and the HIV.gov communications technology and infrastructure contract at $7M to $13M through the Mission Strategic Buying Center. Both award dates have passed. They are in the table under HHS because they are the first OMAS forecast rows I have seen, and that matters more than their size.
• ARPA-H has no rows in SBCX and no forecast. The research-funding URL from May now 404s; open solicitations live under Explore Funding. What is open in September: Emerging Health Innovators, FASTPASS (drug quality testing at ports), REST (sleep), STREAM (herbicide exposure, launched August 17), the TIGAR biopreservation exploratory topic, ASCENT-IBO (ibogaine trials for opioid use disorder), and the four rolling Mission Office ISOs. None of those is a health-IT buy. DIGIHEALS, UPGRADE and the Biomedical Data Fabric Toolbox sit in the portfolio without an open solicitation. So ARPA-H has no rows this month, and that is the agency's answer, not mine.

GSA: forecast.gsa.gov is gone. The old hostname no longer resolves. GSA's forecast, and the governmentwide tool VA now uses, is the Forecast Tool on acquisitiongateway.gov: 9,219 rows across 15 agencies, with CSV export. The 391 GSA rows the export returned are mostly FAS and PBS, and the ones that touch health are assisted buys GSA runs for HHS: HHS OIG Cloud at $100M to $249M, published with a December 2027 solicitation date and an FY27 second-quarter award, which cannot both be true, so take the row as a signal and not a schedule; HHS MSO at $20M to $49M; and a FedHub credential service line for HHS. SPECTRA, a $500M to $999M cybersecurity engineering requirement, carries a March 2027 solicitation date. The six OASIS+ on-ramp rows (total small business, 8(a), WOSB, SDVOSB, HubZone, unrestricted) all show a January 12, 2026 solicitation and an FY26 fourth-quarter award. HHS itself has zero rows in the GSA tool; HHS is SBCX only.

Two housekeeping notes for the table. Date precision follows the source. CMS, VA and GSA publish day-level solicitation dates. The GSA-hosted tool publishes award as a fiscal quarter, so VA and GSA rows carry the quarter in the award column. SBCX publishes month and year only, so IHS, FDA, NIH and HHS rows carry the first of the month. And the cross-agency hub at acquisition.gov/procurement-forecasts links to four agency home pages and nothing else. I keep it in the footer because it is the official index. Do not use it to find a forecast.